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PRIDE 30: “Fully Loaded”
October 23, 2005
Saitama Super Arena, Tokyo, Japan
By Stephen Quadros, “The
Fight Professor”
I no longer work as the lead commentator for PRIDE. And I am glad everything is
going well for the organization and wish them continued success. But I was
daydreaming just a minute ago, in preparation of penning this article, and I
suddenly pictured a fairly comedic, St. Patrick’s Day style show opening based
on the well thought out name of the English language version of this particular
show, “Fully Loaded”.
(Pause)
Anyway… as morbid as it sounds, I actually think the Japanese title, “Starting
Over” might have been at least closer to the predominant theme here because the
majority of these great competitors are returning after a losing effort in their
last PRIDE appearance (Kazushi Sakuraba, Ken Shamrock, Cro Cop, Rampage Jackson,
Josh Barnett, Ninja, etc.). But to have a show called “Fully Loaded” and NOT
feature any or all of PRIDE’s three reigning champions, Fedor Emelianenko,
Wanderlei Silva and now Mauricio “Shogun” Rua, or even PRIDE’s only existing
“former champion” Antonio Rodrigo “Minotauro” Nogueira, seems like a bit of a
stretch.
Mirko Filipovic
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Josh Barnett |
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What a welcome rematch this is. Barnett seems destined
for a title shot against PRIDE heavyweight champion Fedor “Untouchable”
Emelianenko. But he must first get by “Cro Cop”, and that will not be an
easy task…on paper (Mirko won the first time when Barnett sustained a
shoulder injury early in the match). We’ve heard to no end about Mirko’s
left high lick and his sprawl. But what the public may not be aware of
is his ever-improving jiu-jitsu game. Under the tutelage of Fabricio
Werdum, Mirko has grown by leaps and bounds in the grappling department.
But in his upcoming second go ‘round with “The Baby Faced Assassin” I
have three words that may be of help in regards to a potential ground
duel: don’t go there. As “good” as Mirko now has evolved at the
submission game in the gym, Barnett is light years ahead of him in that
category, especially under the stress of the big lights and crowds at
the big shows. Filipovic MUST keep this on his feet to win it.
Most fans will remember when big Josh was KO’d by Pedro Rizzo way back
in 2001 (UFC 30). But what people should also remember in that fight is
that Barnett was doing extremely well early …with kickboxing. The point
would be that after seeing Fedor, who was not known previously for his
standup (as compared to his ground and pound), push Cro Cop around while
on his feet in their title fight in August, Josh should adopt a similar
game plan, since in my opinion he probably has as good if not better
standup striking skills than the Russian does. So should Barnett’s game
plan be exclusively standup? No. He should use his kickboxing to set up
the takedown because Mirko is too good at defending the simple
straight-in single or double (leg) shot. Mirko will be thinking about
defending the takedown and that will make him in theory more susceptible
to strikes while upright (see Filipovic versus Randleman for a quick
reminder). But because Barnett is powerful enough to hurt anyone in the
division with his punching and kicking, he will be able to get the
Croatian’s mind off takedowns by whacking him in the head.
Since being stripped of his UFC belt that he won by stopping Randy
Couture, Josh has stayed active in Japan, balancing between
pro-wrestling and MMA. The upside of this regimen is that he stayed
‘busy’. The cons are that his head got into the mentality of
pro-wrestling and his body has had more opportunities to get injured. We
know that Mirko has suffered from occasional back problems and that
Barnett has been plagued by nickel-and-dime ailments other than his
shoulder. So the injury handicap quotient they may be about equal.
Conditioning will be the most important factor in this fight.
I don’t foresee a freak ending like last time. I see a very competitive
match that will showcase big guys with big skills. I do feel that
Barnett will eventually get Mirko on his back and submit him (I
predicted that last time too). A title shot would/should be the next
step for Josh after that. “If” Mirko wins he might have to do a ‘title
elimination’ bout with Kharitonov (Barnett may fall into that scenario
too, should as I predict, he defeats Cro Cop) before stepping back in
with Fedor. But please, no more “interim titles”, (ugh).
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Kazushi Sakuraba
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Ken Shamrock |
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PRIDE has always known how to use the ‘celebrity’ card when
necessary and here it is in this match. There is no known ‘heat’ (rivalry)
that I know of between these two MMA icons (although Sakuraba has teasingly
referred to Shamrock in the past by Ken’s pro-wrestling nickname “The World’
Most Dangerous Man”), unless Ken can dream up something based on Sakuraba’s
new training partner (and three-time conqueror) Wanderlei Silva. Here would
be the thinking on this: if Ken defeats Saku does he suddenly qualify for a
title shot with Silva, which would thus set up a fight where Wanderlei would
avenge his “new” friend’s (Sakuraba’s) loss? I hope not, or at least not
until after Silva faces Ricardo Arona again for his individual middleweight
title (Arona decisioned Silva in the recent middleweight grand prix but
Wanderlei’s individual championship was not at stake). I could understand
how the above Shamrock-over-Saku-then-Wanderlei sequence of matches would be
good “business” in a box office sense. But now that PRIDE has reactivated
the tournament format, and the results of that format are a direct
implication on where fighters might be ranked for individual title shots,
having the ‘Ken over Saku, then Ken against Wanderlei for the title’ chain
of events might also send a mixed signal about how one gets into a position
of securing a chance to vie for the championship. Why? Because neither is
currently ranked in the top ten and Shamrock has not fought in a tournament
since 1996 and Sakuraba has not made the semi-finals or finals of a
tournament since 1997.
The marquee value of this match is its most important asset and is also its
hoped-for crossover appeal for further penetration into the US market (Ken
is responsible for the Zuffa era UFC’s highest pay per view numbers when he
faced Tito Ortiz in 2002). It will be interesting simply because these are
two of THE most charismatic figures ever in MMA. A key element will be if
there is any weight restriction in the match. Shamrock is the bigger of the
two and has fought most of his career as a heavyweight. But I don’t feel he
represents the kind of threat that Cro Cop or Silva did when they pummeled
Saku. Plus Kazushi has been training at Chute Boxe academy in Brazil, you
might say. Yes, but for how long (August 18th till October 1st?)? And was
that for PR or will the month or so that he spent down there really change
his style? Sakuraba is/was one of the greatest fighters and personalities to
ever set foot into MMA. But the “legacy” of his injuries and ability to
absorb punishment are now threatening to overshadow his accomplishments as a
winner in the game.
So now we have Shamrock versus Sakuraba. Who will win? I don’t know,
probably the guy who has the most left… But more important than that
question is what will happen next after this fight? If Saku is victorious,
will he continue the slow self-destruction of campaigning at 205 pounds or
drop down to 185, where he should have been fighting for years? If Ken gets
the win will he be in the ring with Silva, Shogun, Arona or Jackson next?
Either way, the future may be frightening indeed.
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Quinton Jackson
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Hirotaka
Yokoi |
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Quinton “Rampage” Jackson is (still) the great American
hope in PRIDE’s ‘middleweight’ (205 pound) division. Having stumbled
lately by losing to the skyrocket kid, Mauricio “Shogun” Rua in his
last match at PRIDE Total Elimination (April 2005), he has gone back to
basics and taken time to rebuild his support group. Now training with Juanito Ibarra for his boxing and Antonio McKee (and others) for his
wrestling and submissions, Jackson hopes to reconvene his status as the
man who will be king, instead of the one who would have been.
Quinton’s kryptonite has been the Chute Boxe style as dished out most
recently by Shogun, who undoubtedly learned the framework for beating
Jackson from his teammate Wanderlei, who crushed the Yank twice with
that team’s Muay Thai mayhem. But Hirotaka Yokoi is an entirely
different animal and some even view this as a rebuilder fight for
Jackson (after an impressive 10-0 start Yokoi has lost his last 3
fights). A product of the pre-Takanori Gomi-striker era, Yokoi is a
slickster on the floor, ala Sakuraba or Minotauro. As spirited as he is
Yokoi is also limited when it comes to applying or defending the
kickboxing, boxing and Thai boxing aspects of the game. Therefore QJ
should make this into a K-1 fight. The American’s wrestling has always
been underrated but it will be his key here to A) keep the fight
standing and B) use his naturally heavy hands to score the knock out.
Yokoi may try some crazy, desperate moves but he will eventually cave to
the crunch instituted by the man known as Rampage. |
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Sergei Kharitonov
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Fabricio Werdum |
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Fabricio Werdum has beaten some fairly tough guys so
far with submission wins over Tom Erikson, Kristof Midoux and Roman Zentzov.
But a good number of experts feel that Sergei Kharitonov is a cut above
that breed of competition. Kharitonov is the guy who most fighters in
the heavyweight division wish would just vanish. Yes, he is a threat to
everyone, including Fedor. But before we start salivating over an
all-Russia heavyweight championship match, let’s just keep focused on
Sergei versus his latest Brazilian challenge. Up to this point he is 1-1
against guys from Rio De Janeiro: in his last entry into PRIDE (June
2005) Kharitonov dispensed of former UFC slugger Pedro Rizzo with a
volley of violence at 2:02 of round one and before that he lost a
competitive decision to submission superman Rodrigo “Minotauro” Nogueira
(PRIDE Final Conflict, August 2004).
One could say that Werdum is closer stylistically to Nogueira than he is
to
Rizzo. But that is not to say that he can’t bang a little bit. A
non-martial artist friend of mine told me recently his philosophy on
fighting and I tended to agree with him, as I summed up my basic theory
when things appear to be competitive: the meanest dog wins. In this
clash that would be Kharitonov. Werdum isn’t exactly Bambi himself, as
his undefeated record shows (of his 6-0-1 stats all his wins are inside
the distance), so this will be an unbelievable struggle for both men. I
do pick Kharitonov but it surely will not be easy.Whoever wins this
should face the winner of Barnett/Cro Cop in a title challenger
elimination bout, almost like a mini 4-man tournament, the victor facing
Fedor for his championship. |
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Murilo “Ninja” Rua
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Murad Chunkaiev |
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Welcome back Ninja. Rua by submission |
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Makoto
Takimoto  |
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Yoon
Dong Sik |
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Takimoto.
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Sentoryu. |
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James "The Colossus" Thompson
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Alexandru Lungu |
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Ever watch the Discovery Channel and see
two massive buffalos butting heads in the middle of a prairie? That is
what we have here. Alexandru Lungu has won his country's national Judo
title 30 times! And he weighs over 350 pounds; he's humungous! Once you
see a photo of the guy you cannot help but wonder can he be stopped with
anything short of an elephant gun? That is James Thompson's job; after
being the bull in the past, James, who isn't exactly a shrimp at 6' 5",
260+, may now be forced to become the matador to some extent. But let's
be real here, this is going to be a head on collision.
I will use the "I-word" when sizing up this battle of behemoths: 'if'
James can hurt Lungu and getting him moving backwards in the Brit's
early bombing raid(with punches) he will probably win by KO or TKO. But
'if' they clinch and the Romanian gets Big Jim on his back, Thompson may
lose by ground and pound or a neck crank. One thing is for sure, it will
not make it out of the first round and the man who imposes his game plan
first will be victorious. |
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Stephen
Quadros, “The Fight Professor”, has worked as a host and play-by-play
commentator for some of the world’s greatest fight organizations including:
PRIDE, K-1 and Inoki Bom Ba Ye. He currently balances his activities between
acting, freelancing around the globe as a host/commentator for major fight shows
(World Extreme Cagefighting, Cage Rage, etc.), choreographing fight scenes for
feature films and playing drums for the band, Sacred Cowboys. Visit Mr. Quadros on the world wide web at:
www.StephenQuadros.com
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